Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.473745 3.875512 4.311483 4.820772 5.400706 6.042045 6.807078
2025-03-02 2.806556 3.325534 3.929181 4.687079 5.618628 6.733131 8.177804
2025-03-09 2.414534 2.990660 3.696199 4.631591 5.850772 7.401927 9.550464
2025-03-16 2.131315 2.734504 3.504260 4.570849 6.029703 7.983448 10.846076
2025-03-23 1.999648 2.647615 3.505710 4.743384 6.512994 8.998816 12.839718
2025-03-30 1.832596 2.490999 3.390415 4.732531 6.725675 9.643610 14.367136
2025-04-06 1.684346 2.343099 3.268070 4.690844 6.877243 10.200733 15.816526
2025-04-13 1.499618 2.125745 3.024842 4.442741 6.684229 10.200190 16.360299
2025-04-20 1.408782 2.036534 2.959363 4.453422 6.887338 10.835596 18.029097
2025-04-27 1.349146 1.987978 2.948900 4.545424 7.224984 11.720407 20.241412
2025-05-04 1.294392 1.941771 2.936788 4.630949 7.556362 12.625479 22.610272
2025-05-11 1.237014 1.886578 2.905064 4.679146 7.825205 13.445545 24.929088
2025-05-18 1.180485 1.830322 2.869820 4.722608 8.098298 14.320174 27.523286
2025-05-25 1.096464 1.723641 2.743841 4.597787 8.053890 14.596089 28.939235
2025-06-01 1.033649 1.647484 2.662927 4.544659 8.135147 15.119494 30.955748
2025-06-08 0.975479 1.575103 2.582916 4.485457 8.197119 15.608572 32.969562
2025-06-15 0.959494 1.573375 2.624837 4.654317 8.720854 17.102690 37.535395
2025-06-22 0.916547 1.521830 2.574593 4.643708 8.881605 17.848794 40.448096
2025-06-29 0.872500 1.465517 2.511724 4.602923 8.974928 18.457374 43.122978
2025-07-06 0.803250 1.360189 2.352635 4.360154 8.618836 18.019807 43.035395
2025-07-13 0.773681 1.325020 2.321324 4.370607 8.808040 18.851198 46.455466
2025-07-20 0.756395 1.311224 2.329023 4.460635 9.180352 20.157744 51.426608
2025-07-27 0.739182 1.296445 2.333665 4.544321 9.546629 21.497149 56.764288